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vineri, 4 februarie 2011

Temporal Changes in Shiller's Exuberance Data

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1754388 Mukul PAL, CMT, CEO, Orpheus Capitals e-mail: mukul@orpheus.asia Adrian Mitroi, CFA, Phd CFO, MKB Nextebank e-mail: adrian.mitroi0@gmail.com Megh Shah, B.E. Masters in Satistical Science e-mail: m5shah@students.latrobe.edu.au Abstract: Robert Shiller’s "Paper on The Volatility of Stock markets Prices", published in 1987 uses dividend data and real interest rates to seek evidence that true investment value changes through time sufficiently to justify the price changes. His paper concluded that most of the volatility of the...